Fang says China can ward off sharper slowdown

China has the means to ward off a sharper slowdown in the economy, especially on the fiscal side, Fang Xinghai, Vice Chairman of China’s Securities Regulatory Commission (CRSC) said on Thursday at a session at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Concerns about China’s policy making ability have shot to the top of global investors’ risk lists for 2016 after a renewed plunge in its stock markets and yuan currency stoked worries that the economy may be rapidly deteriorating.

“In China, we cannot afford to let the growth rate drop too sharply, because that will ignite a lot of financial problems,” said Fang.

“We have the means to do so, particularly on the fiscal side that we can expand quite a lot,” Mr. Fang said in a video feed monitored by Reuters.

China’s economic growth slowed to 6.8 per cent in the fourth quarter, the weakest since the financial crisis, adding pressure on a government that is struggling to restore the confidence of investors.

Policy insiders expect China to lean more on the fiscal policy to support the slowing economy, probably widening this year’s budget deficit to about 3 per cent of GDP, while further cuts in interest rates and bank reserve ratios are anticipated.

China’s stock market should do more to support the economy, Fang said, without giving details.

Fang reiterated that there was no basis for China to devalue the yuan, based on its economic fundamentals.

China will honour its commitment on reforms related to the yuan’s entry into the International Monetary Fund’s special drawing rights (SDR) basket, Fang said.

“Some people worry that once China entered into the SDR, it may not fulfill the commitment with respect to joining the SDR. I can assure you that worry is completely unnecessary,” Fang said.

In November, the IMF admitted the yuan to the SDR basket, a symbolic win for Beijing’s campaign for recognition as a global economic power.

Chinese officials have pledged to push forward economic reforms, despite recent heavy-handed steps to rescue the stock market and central bank interventions to support the yuan.

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China posts slowest economic growth in 25 years

For the first time in 25 years, China’s economy grew at its slowest pace at 6.9 per cent in 2015, sparking global concerns over the health of the world’s second largest economy and its impact on investors as the Communist giant embarked on painful economic reforms.

The growth rate, released by China’s the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) today, moderated to 6.8 per cent for the fourth quarter, the lowest quarterly rate since the global financial crisis in 2009, and 6.9 per cent for 2015.

The 6.9 per cent growth rate is the slowest in the country since the 3.8 per cent in 1990, a year after the bloody Tiananmen Square crackdown rocked the country and isolated it internationally.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang last year had said that the Chinese government targeted an annual economic growth of around seven per cent for 2015.

As per the new data, China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reached 67.67 trillion yuan (about $ 10.3 trillion) in 2015, with the service sector accounting for 50.5 per cent, the first time the ratio exceeded 50 per cent overtaking the manufacturing, the NBS said.

Analysts said if the economy slips below 6.8 per cent the government may have to opt for a stimulus package which it is trying to avoid. The slowdown has already destabilised China’s stock market last year which also had negative effect in the world markets.

China had worst stock market crashes last year which wiped out about $ 3.2 trillion of capital, prompting government initiate investigation. Since then the market experienced severe volatility. Over 20 million small investors who lost heavily in the fluctuations deserted the market.

After experiencing rapid growth for more than a decade, China’s economy has experienced a painful slowdown in the last two years.

Since last year the government has also been vocal about the slowdown saying that the Chinese economy has entered a “new normal” in view of the transition from a state-led investment and manufacturing growth to one more dependent on services and consumption.

Some argue that China’s focus on creating an economy driven by consumption is misplaced. They say as the country attempts to re balance its economy, it should focus on productivity in order to sustain high growth.

“While higher consumption can support growth in the short run, there is little in economic theory that emphasizes the expenditure side of GDP as a driver of growth,” BBC quoted HSBC’s John Zhu as saying in a note.

China is the biggest market for goods produced by some nations. With the Chinese buying fewer goods or commodities, it’s dragging down those countries’ economies and commodity prices.

Read More

China posts slowest economic growth in 25 years

For the first time in 25 years, China’s economy grew at its slowest pace at 6.9 per cent in 2015, sparking global concerns over the health of the world’s second largest economy and its impact on investors as the Communist giant embarked on painful economic reforms.

The growth rate, released by China’s the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) today, moderated to 6.8 per cent for the fourth quarter, the lowest quarterly rate since the global financial crisis in 2009, and 6.9 per cent for 2015.

The 6.9 per cent growth rate is the slowest in the country since the 3.8 per cent in 1990, a year after the bloody Tienanmen Square crackdown rocked the country and isolated it internationally.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang last year had said that the Chinese government targeted an annual economic growth of around seven per cent for 2015.

As per the new data, China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reached 67.67 trillion yuan (about $ 10.3 trillion) in 2015, with the service sector accounting for 50.5 per cent, the first time the ratio exceeded 50 per cent overtaking the manufacturing, the NBS said.

Analysts said if the economy slips below 6.8 per cent the government may have to opt for a stimulus package which it is trying to avoid. The slowdown has already destabilized China’s stock market last year which also had negative effect in the world markets.

China had worst stock market crashes last year which wiped out about $ 3.2 trillion of capital, prompting government initiate investigation. Since then the market experienced severe volatility. Over 20 million small investors who lost heavily in the fluctuations deserted the market.

After experiencing rapid growth for more than a decade, China’s economy has experienced a painful slowdown in the last two years.

Since last year the government has also been vocal about the slowdown saying that the Chinese economy has entered a “new normal” in view of the transition from a state-led investment and manufacturing growth to one more dependent on services and consumption.

Some argue that China’s focus on creating an economy driven by consumption is misplaced. They say as the country attempts to re balance its economy, it should focus on productivity in order to sustain high growth.

“While higher consumption can support growth in the short run, there is little in economic theory that emphasizes the expenditure side of GDP as a driver of growth,” BBC quoted HSBC’s John Zhu as saying in a note.

China is the biggest market for goods produced by some nations. With the Chinese buying fewer goods or commodities, it’s dragging down those countries’ economies and commodity prices.

Read More